Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000214 0.000240 0.000267 0.000298 0.000333 0.000371 0.000415
2024-12-22 0.000178 0.000213 0.000252 0.000300 0.000358 0.000424 0.000506
2024-12-29 0.000152 0.000192 0.000239 0.000301 0.000379 0.000474 0.000599
2025-01-05 0.000130 0.000172 0.000225 0.000298 0.000394 0.000517 0.000686
2025-01-12 0.000114 0.000158 0.000215 0.000298 0.000411 0.000564 0.000783
2025-01-19 0.000102 0.000147 0.000208 0.000300 0.000431 0.000614 0.000890
2025-01-26 0.000090 0.000134 0.000198 0.000296 0.000442 0.000652 0.000981
2025-02-02 0.000085 0.000131 0.000200 0.000309 0.000478 0.000731 0.001138
2025-02-09 0.000078 0.000125 0.000197 0.000314 0.000501 0.000791 0.001273
2025-02-16 0.000072 0.000119 0.000193 0.000317 0.000522 0.000848 0.001409
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000113 0.000187 0.000317 0.000537 0.000896 0.001533
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000105 0.000180 0.000312 0.000543 0.000931 0.001638
2025-03-09 0.000055 0.000099 0.000174 0.000312 0.000558 0.000984 0.001783
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000095 0.000170 0.000313 0.000576 0.001044 0.001946
2025-03-23 0.000047 0.000090 0.000166 0.000313 0.000593 0.001104 0.002116
2025-03-30 0.000043 0.000084 0.000160 0.000309 0.000601 0.001147 0.002260
2025-04-06 0.000040 0.000080 0.000156 0.000309 0.000615 0.001205 0.002435
2025-04-13 0.000038 0.000077 0.000153 0.000311 0.000635 0.001273 0.002638
2025-04-20 0.000035 0.000072 0.000147 0.000307 0.000641 0.001316 0.002795
2025-04-27 0.000034 0.000072 0.000150 0.000321 0.000686 0.001441 0.003135
2025-05-04 0.000032 0.000070 0.000149 0.000326 0.000713 0.001530 0.003406
2025-05-11 0.000030 0.000068 0.000148 0.000329 0.000736 0.001614 0.003676
2025-05-18 0.000029 0.000065 0.000144 0.000329 0.000751 0.001681 0.003913